Services

Economic analysis for governments, donors and international organisations: we diagnose sectors and public spending, design and cost programmes, and evaluate what they changed.Economic analysis for companies and investors: we size markets and plan entry, find and assess firms to buy, and model what a business is worth.

Service · For companies and investors · Where to play

Policy, regulatory & public-demand risk

How incentives, licences, rules and public spending move a business case.

Context

What it answers

In Serbia and the region, many business cases depend on the state: on incentives and their conditions, on licences and conformity rules, on public buyers and how they procure, and on rules that are being aligned with the EU. These move faster and less predictably than markets, and they are often read from announcements rather than from the documents that decide them.

  • Which incentives could apply, on what conditions, and what do they require in return?
  • Which licences, standards and procurement rules apply, and how long do they take in practice?
  • Where will public money be spent, and how could politics or EU alignment change the case?

Evidence

How we work

We read the laws, decrees, programmes and budgets that govern a case in the original, map the institutions that decide and how long their procedures take in practice, and follow public demand from budget programmes and project lists down to tenders and contract awards. State-aid rules and EU alignment are checked for what they mean for a specific investment, and political and fiscal risks are set out as scenarios, with the signals that would show which one is unfolding.

Incentives and state aid · licences and conformity · public procurement and project pipelines · public budgets, EU and lender funds · EU alignment · political and fiscal scenarios

Direction

What you get

A risk memo, or a chapter of a market study, that lists each rule, incentive and public programme that matters, what it requires, by when, and how likely it is to change; a note on public demand, monthly where needed; and checklists for licences, tenders and conformity. Legal opinions come from the client’s lawyers; we set out what they need to confirm.

What the tool looks like

Monitor

Public demand, month by month

Tenders planned, open and awarded

For investors · Policy, regulatory & public-demand risk

Illustration with invented figures.

Examples of our work

For investorsInternational technology group2026

Market-entry strategy for Serbia

No published source measures this market, so we built it from primary records: a census of six years of public contracts and tender files, the filed accounts of the supplier base and an object-by-object model of commercial demand. It was sized from the demand and the supply side independently and forecast to 2032 in a model the client can adjust.

All work

Earlier experience

Before Econominess, Nemanja Šormaz did work of this kind in the roles below.

2018–2025Project manager, co-author and supervising director

Foreign investment and state aid

A policy study of state aid built on a profile of several hundred greenfield foreign investors, a project on publishing state-aid data openly and tracking the quality of subsidised investment and, as supervising director, a census of firms controlled from one of Serbia’s main trading partners.

Talk to Nemanja Šormaz

The other side

Market entry, business plans, due diligence and valuation for companies and investors.Diagnostics, programme design, cost-benefit analysis and evaluation for institutions.

Read this as an investorRead this as an institution

Contact

Tell us the decision in front of you, and when you need it.

nemanja@econominess.rs

Company profile, PDF · Belgrade, Serbia