Services

Economic analysis for governments, donors and international organisations: we diagnose sectors and public spending, design and cost programmes, and evaluate what they changed.Economic analysis for companies and investors: we size markets and plan entry, find and assess firms to buy, and model what a business is worth.

Topic

SMEs & entrepreneurship

Evidence

Firms with 10 to 249 employees show whether an economy can grow from within. In Serbia they are fewer than one in ten, yet they produce two fifths of the value added in the business economy; in the EU, under a third.

The middlefirms with 10 to 249 employees, of every 100, 2023firms 9euros of value added 40EU 31

Eurostat, structural business statistics by size class, 2023

Context

For ministries, agencies and donorsFor companies and investors

Serbia’s small and mid-sized firms carry more of its economy than their peers do in Europe. Many took over the industrial skills of the old conglomerates as those collapsed, and a core of domestic exporters has grown largely on its own, making custom products in small series for buyers they know. Yet growth and support have run mostly through large foreign-owned plants and thin help for micro firms, while the firms in between are held back by people, management and new markets as much as by money.

Support for firms is built around two poles: grants per job for large investors, who take most of that money, and modest programmes for small firms, mostly co-financing equipment, rationed by administrative criteria or by who applies first and reimbursed only after the money is spent. Neither fits a firm of fifty people that exports custom machinery, cannot find engineers, needs a finance function or wants buyers beyond the one it knows. Measures that build capability reach few firms, least of all in less developed regions. The question for policy is how the same budget could serve what different firms need to grow: medium-term programmes for groups of firms with similar needs, chosen for their potential rather than their past success, paid in advance where that matters, and judged by what changed.

We wrote the SME sector chapters of the OECD’s SME Policy Index for the region and follow supported firms on the shop floor; the founder’s earlier work identified the leading domestic exporters and turned their proposals into policy.

For an investor, buyer or partner, these firms are where domestic know-how sits: precision metalwork, machinery and tools, plastics and packaging, furniture and fit-out, food and software. Most are run by their owners, often their founders, so succession is a live question, and they grew by serving a few buyers well rather than by building brands or sales channels. That leaves value an owner or partner can capture: professional management and finance, new markets, automation where labour is short, and consolidation in fragmented niches. They are hard to find in statistics but easy to read in their filed accounts, which show whose business will outlast its founder.

We read these firms from the filed accounts of every company in their niche and from inside, where costing, planning and finance decide whether a plan holds, and know the public programmes that can share the cost of growth.

Direction

What we do here

Examples of our work

For institutionsSME Hub, Swiss development cooperation2025–26Lead consultant

Multi-year evaluation of a supplier development programme

A panel of manufacturing firms is visited on site every year, with owners and the heads of finance, production, sales and people, while the filed accounts of every firm in the programme are tracked alongside. Each co-financed tool is scored for whether it is still in use, and results are read against prices, local wages and sector employment.

For investorsProspective buyer2026

Due diligence of a software company in Serbia: business model, clients and quality of earnings

Ten years of statutory accounts, the company’s own management model reconciled with the books, revenue by client and type of work, and a bridge from reported to recurring profit, ending in a valuation range against regional deal multiples and a price split between a fixed and a deferred part.

For investorsEuropean investor2026

Acquisition search in digital infrastructure

A desk screen of firms in Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina and North Macedonia, drawn from business registers, regulators’ market data, routing registries and procurement records. Each firm is scored on six criteria, a top score requires a register or regulator source, and every open fact is listed with the check that would settle it.

All work

What we do here

Examples of our work

For investorsProspective buyer2026

Due diligence of a software company in Serbia: business model, clients and quality of earnings

Ten years of statutory accounts, the company’s own management model reconciled with the books, revenue by client and type of work, and a bridge from reported to recurring profit, ending in a valuation range against regional deal multiples and a price split between a fixed and a deferred part.

For investorsEuropean investor2026

Acquisition search in digital infrastructure

A desk screen of firms in Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina and North Macedonia, drawn from business registers, regulators’ market data, routing registries and procurement records. Each firm is scored on six criteria, a top score requires a register or regulator source, and every open fact is listed with the check that would settle it.

For institutionsSME Hub, Swiss development cooperation2025–26Lead consultant

Multi-year evaluation of a supplier development programme

A panel of manufacturing firms is visited on site every year, with owners and the heads of finance, production, sales and people, while the filed accounts of every firm in the programme are tracked alongside. Each co-financed tool is scored for whether it is still in use, and results are read against prices, local wages and sector employment.

All work

Earlier experience

Before Econominess, Nemanja Šormaz worked for more than a decade on how Serbian small firms grow and export, and on how policy could help those able to grow.

2013–2020Researcher, then project coordinator and co-author

How small firms grow

Analyses of Serbian firms from the accounts of every reporting company over many years, asking which firms grow and why, and how many of the larger domestic firms started small; interviews in banks and a survey of more than a thousand firms; in 2020, a study for a development bank on reaching the small firms the pandemic hit hardest.

2018–2025Project manager; point of contact and co-author

Measuring the sector and its support

A survey of nearly 800 firms in eight municipalities on local rules and inspections, and the research and monitoring of a five-year SME programme behind SME Compass: a baseline survey of some 900 firms, yearly assessments and an annual survey of about 1,500.

2020–2025Co-organiser and co-author

SME100: leading domestic exporters and their agenda

Leading domestic exporters selected on set criteria from the accounts of some 17,700 firms, a dialogue with them that produced policy initiatives tracked year by year, from the investment tax credit to advance payment of support, and yearly exhibitions in regional technology parks with a barometer of the SME sector.

Talk to Nemanja Šormaz

The other side

Where domestic know-how sits, and which firms are worth backing.How support could reach the small and mid-sized firms able to grow.

Read this as an investorRead this as an institution

Contact

Tell us the decision in front of you, and when you need it.

nemanja@econominess.rs

Company profile, PDF · Belgrade, Serbia